Riding the Wave: A Field Guide to Trend Following

Trend following doesn’t try to predict the market. It listens to it. Here is how we identify trends early and let them run.

Riding the Wave: A Field Guide to Trend Following

Operates on a deceptively simple belief: what has been working will, more often than not, continue to work — until it clearly stops.

Follow, don’t forecast

The goal is not to predict the market but to dynamically follow it. We identify trends early, ride them as far as the evidence allows, and step aside when the signal weakens.

Three rules we never break

  1. Let the position size follow conviction, not emotion.
  2. Cut weakness quickly; let strength run.
  3. Respect the exit rule even when the story is compelling.

Trends end. Discipline is what lets you keep the gains they hand you along the way.

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