Insights & research

Notes on disciplined investing.

Strategy, evidence, and the occasional contrarian stand — written to cut through the noise, not add to it.

Mean Reversion Isn’t Magic — It’s Mathematics

Why prices that drift far from intrinsic value tend to snap back — and how we separate genuine mispricing from a structural shift.

Trend following doesn’t try to predict the market. It listens to it. Here is how we identify trends early and let them run.

More choice has not meant more clarity. A first-principles framework for deciding what actually deserves a place in your portfolio.